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If the price is far below that value, you should proceed with caution

You can't put a Teferi's Moat out there for a long, long time against decks unknown with the knowledge that an enchantment removal or bounce spell will almost certainly kill you unless you are very brave, and once you start down the Moat road it's hard to stop

A $500-650 target over that window represents a reasonable risk/reward from current prices, with the serialized Chocobo providing an asymmetric upside floor that supports sealed premiums even in weaker market conditions

Also, if you spend more than six mana on X, you get a creature back, which is similar to the Finale cycle